I'll be traveling much of the day, will post when I can.

Quick update from Obi Wan Kenobi: Talk about a nice weekend. All the generic leads get cut in half. He doesn't want Republicans to get too giddy; he likes Andy Kohut's record as a pollster the most, and preferred him for a while (Kohut is now with Pew). He suspects that direction and momentum matters more than the exact numbers in these polls. He skeptical of the Gallup state polls, much like RCP. He sees two possible concerns: 1) whether the wave that we've seen in the generics continues, or whether it was like a pendulum, and will fade or swing back by Election Day and 2) some sort of scenario where with all the close races, too many Republicans fall just short. Clearly, while the outlook is much better for Republicans than just a week ago, the party isn't out of the woods yet.

He describes himself as "happily befuddled"; he says the possibility is there for a Hollywood ending - angry at the negative campaign, and want to support the president in a good old 1950s way. Right now, nobody should rule anything out.