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October, 2006 Entries • How much will Kerry - and McCain -- influence this final week?
• Looking ahead to Election Night...
• Missing Persons Report: Where is Jim Webb today?
• A bit on Maryland, both Governor's Race and Senate Race
• Okay. We're back. Let's call the site The Kerry Spot again.
• It depends upon the meaning of the word 'moving'
• Poll shows Republican Mark Souder up by 12. Democrats cite that as a sign he's in trouble.
• Generic ballot numbers, moving from really bad to less really bad
• Some surprising optimism from the Jedi Council
• Panic, but only if Allen is in trouble over three days, among likely voters, with a good sample...
• More on Allen, Webb, and women voters in Virginia
• GOP feeling optimism about NY-26, FL-16, CT races, one GA race
• Looking at a trio of House races in I-states...
• Two key thoughts on whether pollsters are reaching key groups of voters
• Looking at that Post poll in Maryland
• Updates in two key races in Florida and Texas
• Polls, House races, and proportional representation
• Polls for two GOP House incumbents looking better...
• If South Carolinians could vote in Virginia, Webb would be fleeing (UPDATED)
• Friday afternoon oddities
• Obi Wan Kenobi, on the races, twelve days out
• Another roundup from the GOP ground game
• Three pollsters
• More accounts from the Republican GOTV effort
• New poll in Minnesota 6 and Virginia Senate
• Chewing over the Harold Ford and Playboy Bunny ad
• Some truly tiny sample sizes in New Jersey and Virginia polls
• "[Human Rights Campaign] resources had been inappropriately used" in Foley story?
• If somebody's predicting a 45 to 60 seat pickup for Dems...
• The Big Get-Out-The-Vote Status Report
• A bleg on reports of the GOTV ground game
• Looking at the big picture, with all these bad, odd, and partisan polls
• A key poll to watch in terms of generic ballot numbers (UPDATED)
• Looking at the Burns race, and whether the pool of likely voters has changed
• Diminishing returns when it comes to media hype?
• October Surprise Fatigue
• As goes Instapundit, so goes Tennessee?
• I wouldn't bet on a Burns comeback in Montana, but... (UPDATED)
• Are House race polls hitting only voters in the particular district?
• Worth watching Graf in AZ-8?
• Republican Get-Out-The-Vote Effort: Best where they have won before?
• Durbin subbing in for Reid next year?
• So when do we hear about Lamont's impending 17-point turnaround trick play?
• I wouldn't bet on a Healy victory in Massachusetts, but...
• George Allen, Webb's comments, and the gender gap
• I have a strong hunch there will be no terror attack this weekend
• "Thanks for calling, Mr. Pollster, let me tell you how bad it is."
• Reason 3,487 to be wary of this year's polls
• I won't break out party hats if Zogby gives me good news
• The Holy Grail of bad prediction columns
• An interesting note on cell phones and polls
• A review, and the upset special prediction (UPDATE: Steele's tied up with Cardin)
• New batch of House polls - even foggier than before
• Novak's assessment is grim, and yet...
• McCain: "Don't think [a Democratic takeover] is going to happen.'
• I'm Ned Lamont, and I don't actually pay attention to gas prices.
• An upset brewing in Wisconsin?
• Shocker! Kyl is only up by 5! Wait, or maybe 16! Which wouldn't be much of a shock, I suppose. (UPDATE: Or maybe 9 points!)
• The harder you look at the House polls, the less certain and reliable they seem
• Reviewing all of the House poll data shows… a very contradictory forecast
• Taking the Wayback Machine for a sense of how things looked, three weeks out in 2004
• Hoist the Black Flag. No really, that's our mood these days.
• McCain's aid to Allen, on and offline
• Thinking about those cell-phone-only voters (UPDATED)
• House races in a headwind
• Phone pollsters, turnout, and Zogby
• The man of the people who has Martha Stewart cater
• Brief Update from Obi-Wan Kenobi, and other food for thought
• Esquire endorses candidates. In related news, no one cares.
• Thoughts on the Instapremortum
• How to blow a debate on the closing question
• Well, it's not like you can cross the Rio Grande on an elephant with a Mariachi band. Oh, wait...
• Was Allen's early press too kind?
• How trustworthy are the polls this year? (UPDATED)
• Mark Warner - not afraid of Hillary, but afraid of Pluto's wake in Sagittarius
• Adios, Air America - bankruptcy declaration expected today
• Ironically, if Harry Reid resigned, it would hurt the GOP
• Update in Pennsylvania from a Santorum conference call
• The GOP's get-out-the-vote operation: Better than 2004, Part Two
• Turkish novelist wins Nobel Prize
• The GOP's get-out-the-vote operation: Better than 2004
• Harry Reid's scandal, which puts Foley into new light
• A fixed-wing crash in NYC high-rise is probably not terrorism, but...
• NYC fixed wing (?) crash in high rise UPDATE:NYC Joint Terrorism Task Force says "no indication of terrorism yet"; still investigating
• Lieberman up by 8 in Connecticut. Or, you know, 13. (Updated)
• Bob Corker's turnaround, DeWine's tie, and Harry Reid's empty anger
• David Zucker on the Democrats and National Security
• What does Barbara Ehrenreich have in common with Paris Hilton?
• Democrats lose a point in NY Times poll, GOP unchanged. Times declares Foley effect.
• Will house arrest for a puppy killer play a factor in the Minnesota Senate race?
• Glad to see people noticed the stock market hitting an all time high...
• He's great, other than the fact that I don't trust him around my daughter
• With a "Nork Nuke", the Foley Scandal enters its Sixteenth Minute of Fame
• Slimy congressmen v. a nuclear explosion
• Remembering that OTHER stunning, unforeseen assault on Capitol Hill
• A fascinating bunch of numbers from Zogby, if you trust him
• The return of... Obi Wan Kenobi
• Why is the first attack ad on Foley distorting already-ugly facts?
• Lieberman up 10 in latest Rasmussen
• Who will interview Foley first?
• How long until the "clash of civilizations" becomes a campaign issue?
• A must-win race in Virginia, if only to deter similar slime campaigns
• Hello, Rush Limbaugh listeners!
• Outlook 2006
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