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October, 2004 Entries


October 31

    • The Redskins indicator - (not so) refuted
    • Terry McAuliffe and the magic of sample sizes
    • Sunday report from the Middle Cheese
    • Here's the bad news from the Middle Cheese source
    • Anybody who takes a McAuliffe boast seriously, go sit in the corner
    • The Fox poll, and weekend polling
    • Mason Dixon - a pretty good measuring stick
    • Which side is playing politics with Osama?
    • Chris Heinz, helping out his stepdad

October 30

    • Why did Kerry do well in Friday night polls?
    • My personal favorite leading indicator
    • Is Hawaii going to flip to a red state?
    • Word from senior GOP circles
    • Losing their cool at Team Kerry?
    • 'The arrogance of evil'
    • It's time for a long look in the mirror
    • Heh
    • Walter Cronkite loses it
    • Is Osama losing his stomach for this fight?
    • More thoughts coming shortly...

October 29

    • Random thought
    • Knocking on wood
    • Bin Laden tape
    • Latest update from Ken Blackwell
    • Rendell running get-out-the-vote effort in Pennsylvania prisons?
    • Way to go, great closer
    • The wacky poll indicator
    • The word from a highly-placed source
    • The Pentagon briefing
    • art
    • Vital context in missing explosives story
    • Krauthammer on Bush's Afghanistan record
    • Schilling cancels
    • Kerry looking better in some polls, worse in others
    • Zogby - different columns, different answers
    • Three more items about the tape
    • Cheney to Hawaii

October 28

    • About that television affiliate videotape from al-QaQaa
    • Okay, let's see something on that tape
    • Washington Post poll
    • Bush schedule
    • Bush brings Schilling to Red Sox nation
    • Edwards v. Bush on hair issues
    • 'I'm Ayman Al-Zawahiri, and I approved this message'
    • The brilliance of this strategy eludes me
    • Reaction to the Hawaii idea
    • From a source close to the campaign
    • A strategy to get Bush to Hawaii
    • Over in the Corner...
    • New Bush ad: 'No limit'
    • Drudge, ABC, and the tape
    • Wacky poll watch
    • How many Democrats will pull the lever for Bush?
    • art
    • Swing state update
    • Zogby changed his mind?
    • Schilling for Bush
    • Do You Know the U.S.A.?
    • The Kerry Spot - coming to your ABC affiliate Election Night
    • Just how much did the New York Times blow this story?
    • Could Bush win Michigan? Would that make it an early night?
    • Something for everyone to dislike
    • The Russians moved Iraqi weapons

October 27

    • The weirdness that breaks when I'm away for a few hours
    • Two conflicting takes on New Jersey
    • Poll roundup
    • Rasmussen on late-deciding voters
    • ABC News insisting it did what it was supposed to do
    • Food for thought on undecideds, and first-time voters
    • Is this the work of the GOP turnout machine? Or just enthusiastic voters?
    • A bit more info on the al-Qaeda ABC tape
    • More pushback from the Bush campaign
    • Whoa - re: Drudge's story on ABC tape
    • Bush hits back
    • Poll warning
    • Could New Jersey be more in play than we think?
    • Big news in the New York Sun
    • CNN, not singing from New York Times songbook
    • The New York Times gets it wrong, again
    • Analysis from Mohammad Amin Bashar
    • Forcing children to turn out the vote for Kerry
    • New Bush ad: 'Whatever it takes'
    • The facts on Al-QaQaa emerge
    • art

October 26

    • Kerry pulling out of Florida? A premature call, at best
    • Gillespie gets in the game
    • Cheney responds to Kerry/Times/Baradei October surprise
    • Bush team response
    • Yet another serviceman refutes the Times account
    • That HMX? Never used against Coalition troops, apparently
    • More from a Kerry Spot reader who was there
    • Miklaszewski's new report
    • More questions about IAEA competence in Iraq
    • What odd timing by Mr. ElBaradei!
    • On Kevin McCullough show shortly
    • Interview with an MSNBC producer
    • A video comparison more powerful than HMX
    • Quick thoughts on today's polls
    • 60 Minutes and Springsteen
    • DNC rushing ads to Hawaii?
    • Lots more info about HDX
    • Glancing at the schedule
    • Would it take 40 trucks or ten?
    • Judge them by the content of their character
    • Most unlikely headline of 2004
    • Tag Team
    • Really smart stuff from Gerry Daly and John Podhoretz
    • The Times’ Botched Story on Munitions, Day Two

October 25

    • NBC blows a hole in the Kerry attack about the explosives
    • Bill Clinton, coming to a neighborhood near you
    • Bold prediction
    • Days of Rage?
    • New Bush ad: The Choice
    • art
    • Colorado no longer in play?
    • Gallup results: Bush still up
    • Hey, what about the 248,000 tons of explosives destroyed or captured?
    • Great, detailed info about get-out-the-vote ops
    • A Bush win would mean political violence?
    • Ronald Reagan's words, against Kerry
    • Re: those missing explosives - check the IAEA report
    • VICTORY!
    • 'Pre-Election Anxiety Disorder' and Hillary
    • Rehnquist in serious condition
    • Man, he can't even tell the truth about Buckner
    • Attention, Connecticut Kerry Spot readers
    • Another account from a guy who's been in Iraq
    • That other stuff going on in Iraq
    • A gaffe, but a revealing gaffe
    • A must-read, re: missing explosives
    • Religion and politics
    • Kerry exaggerated about meeting the Security Council? Yawn.
    • About that big 'missing explosives in Iraq' story
    • The Smallest Electoral Prize

October 24

    • In various Kerry Spot news...
    • Polls? All over the map this Sunday night
    • An interesting comment, and a rumor
    • Weirdness in the Newsweek Poll
    • Bush's upcoming schedule

October 23

    • Bush ahead in Hawaii?
    • Prediction
    • 35,000 ballots in Ohio challenged?

October 22

    • Bush leading in Time poll
    • Hot tip
    • Another summary of Kerry's hunting trip
    • The gun folks wonder if Delaware could swing
    • Drastically different polls in Ohio
    • Gun owners not impressed with Kerry's goose hunt
    • October Surprise?
    • Bush in Michigan Wednesday?
    • Polls and 'Closer Fudd'
    • DNC responds to 'Wolves' with Ostriches
    • 'This might be my last hour'
    • The NRA crowd? Not impressed with Kerry's 'hunting' trip
    • Could voter fraud possibly get worse?
    • Could Kerry's Israel policy sink him with Jewish voters?
    • Compare and contrast
    • The "Wolf" ad
    • Castro has fallen! (Down, I mean.)
    • Speaking of schedules…
    • No, Bush is not 'giving up on Ohio'
    • Just what would Kerry's policy on Israel be?
    • art
    • Did the hunting photo-op generate anything besides snarky remarks?
    • The story the media wants to tell

October 21

    • Federal Judge: Florida voters gotta vote in right precinct
    • WashPost tracking poll...
    • Election analysis from Thomas P. M. Barnett
    • Gore hitting Florida for Kerry
    • Bush could gain 2 million votes in NY, TX, and CA?
    • My electoral college scenario of the day
    • Hmmmm... Is this a momentum shift?
    • A good bipartisan laugh
    • Partisan breakdown of that Detroit News poll
    • Are networks ready to call Florida early - again?
    • Trouble in the Blue States for Kerry?
    • Quick comment about Pat Robertson
    • 'Adult children are off limits but spouses are not'?
    • One more debate
    • Read Michael Barone
    • How polls ought to be analyzed
    • Red Sox costing Kerry New Jersey?
    • Just a slew of polls out
    • No other way to say it...
    • art

October 20

    • Kaus refutes Kerry on Tora Bora better than Bush
    • Man, this post is like poking Red Sox fans with a sharp stick
    • 'Tell Noh-dling-ah I'm on my vay!'
    • Teresa backtracks
    • Interesting stuff from the Hotline
    • Conference call wrapup
    • Philadelphia, Florida cases
    • 'Confidence in secretaries of state across this country'
    • Conference call, continued
    • Live updates from Bush-Cheney campaign conference call
    • 'Thousands' of Ohio's newly registered voters can't be found!
    • Uh, how worried is Kerry about Pennsylvania?
    • See, this is a verified 'pulling ads' report
    • Susan Rice talks about Abu Musab al Zarqawi - Hays isn't impressed
    • Teresa: Teaching isn't a 'real job'
    • Bush wins the Scholastic poll
    • Results from the Harris poll
    • A voice from Florida
    • Say what? Kerry will ‘declare victory early’?
    • Note where everybody is today
    • Kerry backers predicting Bush victory
    • In Ohio, vote any precinct you like?
    • art
    • It All Starts on Nov. 3

October 19

    • You heard it here first - Bush up 3 in Florida
    • Electoral college game
    • Besides the poll, what people are saying about it
    • Will this get the Ohio nervous nellies off the ledge?
    • If you're not skeptical about polls, at least be skeptical of rumors
    • Chatting with a longtime GOP operative
    • Hey, look at this! Common sense in two key states!
    • Another poll showing Bush up, but...
    • Jim Caviezel vs. Johnny Damon
    • Kerry, blacks, and AP headlines
    • Good news and bad news in Philly
    • GOP 527 spending $14 million on "Ashley's Story"
    • Looking at the registration numbers
    • Yeeeee-hah! Bush targets NASCAR Dads
    • Well, maybe New Jersey isn't so close
    • Kerry, speaking French on the stump
    • Oddity in New York Times/CBS poll
    • Kerry's 'heavy-handed' attacks
    • art

October 18

    • Pataki: State legislature won't let us check for NY-Florida voters
    • Kerry's ad, Bush's speech in New Jersey
    • Matt Cooper doesn't get the Mary Cheney thing, either
    • Kerry campaign conference call
    • Ohio voters to Guardians: Sod off!
    • Trading votes for crack?
    • Bush, Jersey, Arizona
    • Pat Buchanan begrudgingly votes for Bush
    • Safire lets Kerry have it with both barrels over Mary Cheney remark
    • Kerry boldly becomes a parody of himself
    • What got into Scowcroft?
    • Kerry's disturbing endorsements
    • Was I wrong about ABC News and The Note?
    • Kerry attacks Bush plan that Washington Post says 'doesn't exist'
    • The poll spin intensifies
    • Putin: Creepily helping Bush-Cheney '04
    • Oddity in New Jersey poll
    • Matthew Dowd shares his 'strategery'
    • art

October 17

    • The standards of CBS spread throughout the media
    • Remain cautious about those polls!
    • Fraternal Order of Police ask Kerry to stop misrepresenting their support
    • Is the market for betting on Bush's reelection being manipulated?
    • Well, forget that idea

October 16

    • How revealing is this bit of news?
    • Polls to ignore - and weirdness in Newsweek
    • Kaus nails the media's selective interpretation
    • Are pollsters missing folks with only cell phones?
    • Teresa's tax returns are out

October 15

    • Looking ahead at candidate schedules
    • How is that war on terror going again?
    • I said, ignore the polls. Even if Bush is up.
    • ABC's The Note runs a correction
    • I'm on NRANews.com
    • That nice guy John Edwards
    • A map of the visits
    • To think I once respected The Note...
    • Kerry talks more about Mary Cheney
    • Arrrrgh - the lies that will not die
    • Keep an eye on those schedules
    • Nightline goes to Vietnam
    • art
    • Nader is on 30 state ballots?

October 14

    • Keep an eye on what states they campaign in
    • Some insist the Mary Cheney reference was okay
    • DNC responds to Drudge
    • First Instapundit, now Vodkapundit
    • Ignore the polls when Kerry is up, ignore 'em when Bush is up
    • Vice President Cheney on Kerry & Edwards
    • Oh, Lizzie Edwards, Lynne Cheney's gonna open a can of whoop-tushie
    • Reason why pollsters can't get Florida - or anywhere else
    • The Wide World of Voter Fraud
    • DNC to charge voter intimidation where there is none?
    • Debate ratings seem pretty high
    • The five-minute assessment
    • Ask me about my wife, I'll tell you about my mother
    • art
    • You Don't Know What You Think You Know

October 13

    • Wrapup
    • Closing minutes
    • From the Bush campaign
    • Final Half Hour... thank goodness
    • Finally a hot topic: Immigration
    • One half hour in
    • Debate Three, Act Two, Scene One
    • First dramatic change - two red ties
    • Washington Post tracking poll has Kerry up
    • For those Bush fans needing optimism
    • A question for tonight
    • On Hugh Hewitt later today
    • Swifties announce $14 million ad buy
    • That other important vote
    • Kerry's campaign advisers posing as impartial experts
    • Bradley Smith: FEC could eventually regulate blogs?
    • Spin those polls! Spin those polls!
    • UK Guardian organizes effort to influence U.S. elections
    • Tennessee Democrats - a real class act
    • The mother of all vote frauds
    • Is terrorism 'a fever to be managed'?
    • Revealing moment on Frontline
    • No Clinton help for Kerry?
    • After reading about Bush's weaknesses, here are his strengths
    • More on Sinclair... from CBS!
    • Edwards and the Kerry-will-make-the-paralyzed-walk comment
    • New York Sun investigates Kerry's discharge from the Navy
    • Look out, Cam! The FEC is targeting the Internet!
    • art

October 12

    • Germany responds to Kerry summit plan
    • Which pollsters were closest in 2000?
    • Next, Chad suggests Sinclair could sleep with the fishes
    • Looking at the voter registration numbers...
    • Vote Fraud Video
    • Edwards: Kerry will heal the paralyzed
    • Kerry: Saddam was a threat. No, wait, he wasn't.
    • Polls and Momentum
    • Hey, do any pollsters account for the military vote?
    • Two great bloggers to watch
    • Noting ABC's The Note
    • What's the deal with Zogby?
    • Q has W within 2 in PA (too many letters, huh?)
    • Check out the CNS News documents for yourself
    • More good news by avoiding bad news
    • Australia's elections: Winning by not losing
    • Democrats call for federal investigation of broadcasts not praising Kerry
    • The debate scheduling

October 11

    • Lileks on Kerry
    • Questions and answers
    • Election intimidation
    • Rudy on Kerry and the 'nuisance' comment
    • It's Columbus Day - take a breather

October 10

    • Teresa: Soldiers die "for greed for oil"
    • The New York Times accidentally reveals Kerry
    • An observation
    • Tracking poll numbers...

October 09

    • Yes, I am alive...

October 08

    • Jim’s Quick conclusion:
    • Final questions
    • Ten more minutes of this
    • One hour in… and I’m getting tired
    • We're 45 minutes in...
    • The face of the debate, or the debate of the face?
    • Debate II, Volume II
    • And...the debate begins...
    • Test... I have arrived at Pomona...
    • Okay - heading over to Pomona College
    • Yeah, there is a lot of anger out there
    • Prince got the 'Whale Rider' girl to play an aspiring suicide bomber
    • The broad outlines of the race, heading into presidential debate number two
    • A bit of good news for the Bushies
    • Do you remember that woman in the black hijab?
    • About the Time poll
    • Mike McCurry continues to slime Allawi
    • Hey, that letter sounds like something I would write
    • I'm back
    • HEY, JG IS BACK...
    • RE: TIME POLL
    • OVER IN THE CORNER, FYI
    • KERRY'S PULPIT POLITICS
    • 
    • Mood: ON THE OTHER HAND
    • NEW TIME MAG POLL
    • The Mood: "SOBER ENTHUSIASM"
    • The Economic Debate
    • Well, If You're Saying He Should Win...Okay, I Guess.
    • COFFEE WITH JOHN BOY THE YOUNGER
    • Safe Prediction: Sara Lister Will Not Be Voting W.
    • Is This A Stretch?
    • GO ON THE TRAIL, YOUNG JERRY
    • JG
    • Breaking News
    • art
    • Traveling Friday, updates later today

October 07

    • Washington Post poll - no change
    • A clear-minded look at deterrence
    • AP has Kerry over Bush
    • About the $87 billion
    • Jim, it depends on the definition of the word, 'attack'
    • As goes Instapundit, so goes the nation?
    • Kerry needs to read John J. Miller's book
    • Kurtz on sign vandalism
    • Was Cheney the 'presiding officer'? No, but yes.
    • The "Flip-flop" charge was a diversion?
    • Two more polls, two slim Bush leads, and a thought about Wisconsin
    • Seattle Post-Intelligencer compares Karl Rove to Joseph Goebbels
    • Interesting wrinkles on WMDs...
    • Getting sick of the Sunshine State yet? Bush by 4
    • art

October 06

    • Two stunning bits of news about Kerry
    • How much could Florida have shifted?
    • Post tracking poll - Bush by 2 among likely, 5 among registered
    • It's Time to Act
    • Bush leads in Iowa, according to Dem poll
    • Kerry makes the right call
    • Bunch of polls - most interesting is NJ still close
    • Are there lots of swing voters? Or wishy-washy Democrats?
    • Any lefty willing to say Edwards didn't hit a home run last night?
    • The Tora Bora line - Cheney didn't refute it, so I will
    • Edwards' nutty 'cutting combat pay' attack
    • Bush's big speech in Wilkes-Barre
    • Did they meet? Well, did they say hello?
    • Somewhere, some DNC flack is taking these numbers seriously...
    • art

October 05

    • Hey, when 90 percent say Edwards won, can we ignore the online polls?
    • No mas! No mas!
    • Closing statements
    • Volume VI
    • Volume V
    • Volume IV
    • Volume III
    • Volume II
    • Volume I
    • They're out. The early decision: Go with red ties.
    • The silly Democratic bring-back-the-draft bill rejected, 402-2
    • That CBS internal investigation? Not much so far
    • Hey, why would the CBS review affect the presidential election?
    • A preview of the president's speech tomorrow
    • What we can look forward to, after Election Day
    • Spinning the DNC spin efforts
    • NBC, attempting to catch up to the standards of CBS
    • With brains like this, how will he pass the 'global test'?
    • About the New York Times poll...
    • I felt a great disturbance, as if millions of voices suddenly cried out in terror
    • Insert your favorite how-many-to-screw-in-a-light-bulb joke here
    • Shooting at Bush-Cheney office in Knoxville, TN
    • An Update on the CNSNews.com documents
    • Bush's sudden "big speech" in PA
    • Two new Bush ads
    • Yes, I know, four syllables
    • Edwards calls Bush voters insane
    • art
    • The Mighty H Word
    • Let's be specific, people
    • Tell us what you really think, Mr. Blankley
    • Are 25 percent of voters still undecided?
    • Like some Hollywood nightmare: "It's like the Sopranos, but with al-Qaeda instead"
    • "What in our history together makes you think I'm capable of something like that?"

October 04

    • Kerry: I've never used the harshest word "lie" - until now
    • The wisdom of Teresa
    • ABC/Washington Post poll is out
    • Pew has Bush up 7 among registered, 5 among likely?
    • That new poll with Bush up 5? Could be WashPost
    • Fox, Bill of InDC Journal concluding it's a pen
    • CHILL A SECOND
    • Notice the speed of retraction
    • A rare kudos to Michael Moore
    • New York Post concludes Kerry pulled out a pen
    • Does CNSNews.com have the story of the year?
    • Alex Keaton would never have supported Kerry
    • The DNC e-mail campaign backfires
    • Flip-flopping and statistics
    • Hey - Cheney and Edwards are tomorrow
    • Well, there's one fewer Bush vote in Rhode Island
    • Mark Steyn: Ruining the curve for the rest of us
    • Afghan elections vs. U.S. elections
    • Bush targets the "Thinking Mom" demographic
    • Times coverage of Swifties vs. CBS memo
    • art
    • Here's another headline: "Democrats Paranoid, See Vast Bush-Rove Conspiracies"

October 03

    • More analysis of the Newsweek poll
    • Don't expect any Lieberman-Cheney reruns
    • Can I be a skeptic on Kerry's "note-gate"
    • Gallup shows tie
    • Tom Brokaw is a girlie-man
    • The Newsweek poll

October 02

    • An oldie but a goodie
    • Welcome to the party, pal!
    • John Kerry, descendant of the Prophet

October 01

    • Powell: We didn't botch Tora Bora
    • I wonder if Letterman gets royalties
    • Another bone to pick with Kerry’s Tora Bora argument
    • Buy stuff, and hear about Michael Moore
    • More from Lockhart
    • Would President Kerry handle Tora Bora differently?
    • More to come momentarily
    • Kerry may have given his foes too much fodder
    • Kerry campaign ignores the Kerry Spot - should I be hurt?
    • Let's launch the Joe Lockhart Shirt Fund
    • Bush supporters seeking optimism should listen to this guy
    • Good stuff from Hugh
    • For optimists, and for pessimists
    • How the world has changed
    • Kerry's focus on Lehrer vs. Clinton's style
    • More debate reaction than you can shake a stick at

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